Should You Buy Newfield Exploration Company (NFX) At This PE Ratio?

Newfield Exploration Company (NYSE:NFX) is trading with a trailing P/E of 17.6x, which is lower than the industry average of 32.1x. Although some investors may jump to the conclusion that this is a great buying opportunity, understanding the assumptions behind the P/E ratio might change your mind. In this article, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it. See our latest analysis for NFX

Demystifying the P/E ratio

NYSE:NFX PE PEG Gauge Sep 18th 17
NYSE:NFX PE PEG Gauge Sep 18th 17

P/E is a popular ratio used for relative valuation. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for NFX

Price per share = 27.11

Earnings per share = 1.542

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = 27.11 ÷ 1.542 = 17.6x

The P/E ratio isn’t a metric you view in isolation and only becomes useful when you compare it against other similar companies. Ultimately, our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to NFX, such as company lifetime and products sold. A common peer group is companies that exist in the same industry, which is what I use below. Since it is expected that similar companies have similar P/E ratios, we can come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios are different.

Since NFX's P/E of 17.6x is lower than its industry peers (32.1x), it means that investors are paying less than they should for each dollar of NFX's earnings. As such, our analysis shows that NFX represents an under-priced stock.

Assumptions to be aware of

While our conclusion might prompt you to buy NFX immediately, there are two important assumptions you should be aware of. The first is that our peer group actually contains companies that are similar to NFX. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to some other factors. For example, if you are inadvertently comparing lower risk firms with NFX, then NFX’s P/E would naturally be lower than its peers, since investors would value those with lower risk with a higher price. The other possibility is if you were accidentally comparing higher growth firms with NFX. In this case, NFX’s P/E would be lower since investors would also reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing NFX to are fairly valued by the market. If this does not hold, there is a possibility that NFX’s P/E is lower because firms in our peer group are being overvalued by the market.

NYSE:NFX Future Profit Sep 18th 17
NYSE:NFX Future Profit Sep 18th 17

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? If your personal research into the stock confirms what the P/E ratio is telling you, it might be a good time to add more of NFX to your portfolio. But keep in mind that the usefulness of relative valuation depends on whether you are comfortable with making the assumptions I mentioned above.

Are you a potential investor? If you are considering investing in NFX, looking at the PE ratio on its own is not enough to make a well-informed decision. You will benefit from looking at additional analysis and considering its intrinsic valuation along with other relative valuation metrics like PEG and EV/Sales.

PE is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Newfield Exploration for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. Since we know a limitation of PE is it doesn't properly account for growth, you can use our free platform to see my list of stocks with a high growth potential and see if their PE is still reasonable.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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