Currently, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3474, down -0.25% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.3659 and low at 1.3452.
- FOMC's decisions regarding monetary policy implementation - Sep 20, 2017
- FOMC statements: Comparison between July and September
- Yellen Speech: Shortfall of inflation this year is more of a mystery
GBP/USD was initially two-way business in the knee-jerk reaction to the FOMC outcome, that proved to be as most participants in the markets had expected. However, once the hawkishness in the dot plot was fully digested, the December rate hike theme firmed and so did the US dollar. GBP/USD, initially buoyed by the UK's Aug retail sales +1.0% vs +0.2% f/c, July revised up from +0.3% to +0.6%, dropped significantly between a session's range of between 1.3452 and 1.3658.
However, the market was heavily short of the dollar and while the FOMC managed to appease the bulls, the balance sheet reduction is not necessarily a positive when taking into consideration subsequent price pressures and interest rate rises when considering how that will affect US stocks and US citizens; given by the moves in the benchmarks today, Wall Street knows it.
- Fed tells markets they're too complacent about hikes - ING
- The Fed did not surprise, moves more about positioning than anything else - BBH
GBP/USD levels
The technical position for the pound is neutral/bearish the short-term with a potential short-term top on the 1.36 handle given the repositioning in the dollar post FOMC. Key support is seen at 1.3443/65 region, noting today's low of 1.3452. 1.3350 on the wide is next key support. On a renewed bullish play, on the wide, 1.3640/70 is a double Fibo and the 2014-2017 downtrend target.
Next in focus
UK PM May's Brexit speech on Friday: Downing Street announced that a speech by Theresa May has been billed as an important moment in the Brexit negotiation process. This will take place in Florence 22nd September.
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