US Fed's Kashkari out with scheduled speech 21 Feb

  • can not base policy on market blips
  • not seeing signs of imminent crisis

Best look a bit harder then.

  • Wall St over reacts to everything
  • not seeing massive leverage build up under assets
  • Fed should allow to markets to move up and down
  • we debate each word in FOMC statement
  • further signalled we continuing on the same path
  • higher market rates show optimism

Optimism from who exactly ?

  • there is still some slack left in US labour market
  • tax cuts could help Fed achieve 2% inflation target.

USD losing a bit of sheen again with GBP the market fave for the moment as Carney & Co say little of note.

GBPUSD 1.3987 with EURGBP down to 0.8818 and GBPJPY up to 150.42

EURUSD 1.2332 USDCHF 0.9366 and USDJPY 107.54 with AUDUSD lower at 0.7840 but support/demand around 0.7830 still holding.