According to analysts from Danske Bank, the European Union and the United Kingdom are likely to agree at next week’s EU summit on a transition period lasting until year-end 2020. “While this is positive, the negotiations on the future relationship are likely to be more complicated”.
Key Quotes:
“In the UK, the calendar is filled with interesting data releases and events. The most important event is the EU summit on Thursday and Friday, when the ambition is to formalise the transition deal, with the EU leaders expected to approve the EU’s guidelines for the framework of the future relationship. Based on recent news stories, it seems like an agreement on transition is just around the corner, as only a few issues remain outstanding. In our view, an agreement would be GBP positive but, at the end of the day, a move lower in EUR/GBP depends on the final withdrawal text (also because the transition agreement is conditioned on the final deal).”
“The Bank of England (BoE) is due to hold one of its smaller meetings on Thursday without updated projections or a press conference. We do not expect any major shifts in policy signals, as the BoE has said it will not pre-commit to a hike this time around. We still expect the BoE to hike in May but will look out for CPI inflation and the labour market report due out during the week, as they are important for the timing of the hike.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD risks a deeper drop in the short term
AUD/USD rapidly left behind Wednesday’s decent advance and resumed its downward trend on the back of the intense buying pressure in the greenback, while mixed results from the domestic labour market report failed to lend support to AUD.
EUR/USD leaves the door open to a decline to 1.0600
A decent comeback in the Greenback lured sellers back into the market, motivating EUR/USD to give away the earlier advance to weekly tops around 1.0690 and shift its attention to a potential revisit of the 1.0600 neighbourhood instead.
Gold is closely monitoring geopolitics
Gold trades in positive territory above $2,380 on Thursday. Although the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds steady following upbeat US data, XAU/USD continues to stretch higher on growing fears over a deepening conflict in the Middle East.
Bitcoin price shows strength as IMF attests to spread and intensity of BTC transactions ahead of halving
Bitcoin (BTC) price is borderline strong and weak with the brunt of the weakness being felt by altcoins. Regarding strength, it continues to close above the $60,000 threshold for seven weeks in a row.
Is the Biden administration trying to destroy the Dollar?
Confidence in Western financial markets has already been shaken enough by the 20% devaluation of the dollar over the last few years. But now the European Commission wants to hand Ukraine $300 billion seized from Russia.