Advertisement
Advertisement

Natural Gas Weekly Price Forecast – natural gas markets running out of hope?

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 14, 2018, 04:47 UTC

Natural gas markets fell again during the week, dropping down to the $2.77 level by the time we got around to the Friday session. It looks likely that we will continue to see a lot of noise in this marketplace, but ultimately it makes sense that we follow as there’s far too much in the way of oversupply.

Natural gas weekly chart, July 16, 2018

Natural gas markets fell during the week, reaching down towards the $2.75 level underneath, with the $2.60 level underneath being massive support and the bottom of the overall consolidation area. This is a market that longer-term has a lot of negativity attached to it as we have far too much in the way of natural gas out there to keep demand up for a long time. I believe that the area above the $3.00 level should continue to be massive resistance, and I think that any time we rally the sellers will come back. The $2.60 level underneath is massive demand though, so I think that’s as far as we are going. This is a market that has plenty of negativity into it in the short-term, because we are starting to see a lack of demand, and of course there is a massive oversupply of natural gas to begin with. With this in mind, and of course the strengthening US dollar, it makes sense that we drift lower.

I would be very cautious about trying to put too much money in a long position right now, so I prefer to sell rallies as they prefer, or if you can put a smaller position on simply ride out the volatility down to the bottom. The market continues to be noisy, but in the end I still retain a very negative bias when it comes to this market.

NATGAS Video 16.07.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

Did you find this article useful?

Advertisement