Westpac is expecting the kiwi dollar to fall further

  • The US dollar should strengthen further if the Fed hikes further this year, and that will push NZD/USD lower.
  • In addition, the NZ-US interest rate advantage has been eroded, removing one of the previous attractions of the NZD.
  • Further, domestic data is indicating the NZ economy is slowing.
  • We expect NZD/USD to fall to 0.68 by September, and 0.67 or lower by December

(bolding mine)

ps. We've got data coming up from NZ at 2245GMT, first quarter GDP: