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AUD/USD Price Forecast – Australian dollar rallies significantly on Friday

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jun 23, 2018, 05:23 UTC

The Australian dollar has rallied rather significantly against the US dollar during trading on Friday, slicing above the 0.74 level. Because of this, I think that we are going to continue to see some upward pressure in this market, as we have formed a “W pattern” on the hourly chart, which of course is very bullish. However, the market seems to have a bit of a ceiling above, so although I see a buying opportunity, it is probably short term.

AUD/USD daily chart, June 25, 2018

The Australian dollar has rallied significantly during the trading session on Friday, confirming a “W pattern” on the hourly chart. When measured, it suggests that we will probably go to the 0.7475 handle, and I certainly think that the 0.75 level above is going to be resistance as well. At this point, I think that the sellers will become a bit aggressive in that area, especially considering that the other risk appetite markets seem to be struggling a bit against the US dollar. The Australian dollar is showing more resiliency than many other currencies, so it’ll be interesting to see how far this can run.

I believe that the 0.7350 level is massive support, based upon weekly charts. It’s not a huge surprise to me that we got a nice bounce from here, because if nothing else it is a technical bounce. But I also expect that the 0.75 level is going to attract a lot of attention, so at the first signs of exhaustion near that level, I would be a seller. Alternately, if we can break above that handle, that would be a very bullish sign and could bring in a flood of new buyers. Overall, I think short-term buyers will run the show, but eventually bearishness will return.

AUD/USD Video 25.06.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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