An eventful US session with Brexit and Oil in focus

Market data

  • S&P 500 down -0.15% at 2741
  • Nasdaq down +-0.00% at 7242
  • Dow Jones down -0.40% at 25519
  • FTSE 100 +-0.00%
  • GBPUSD +0.83% at 1.2956
  • US Crude -7.73% at 55.30

GBP and NZD strongest currencies on the session (However, GBP gains were capped by negative prospect of a Parliamentary vote getting the Brexit deal agreed in the UK)

The US Session was dominated by the technical agreement of a Brexit deal between Britain and the EU. The GBP immediately rallied on the news and Theresa May is due to meet her Cabinet tonight, one by one, to run through the Brexit divorce text. However, the initial rally in the GBP was short lived as the inevitable question arose, would the deal be voted through Parliament. A steady stream of dissenting voices made their way through the wires expressing their desire to vote the deal down: Rees-Mogg, Boris Johnson, Jeremy Corbyn the Labour leader, Iain Duncan Smith the former Conservative leader. It quickly becomes apparent that any vote to accept the Brexit deal was not going to come easily. The focus is now on the detail. A failure of the cabinet to agree will most likely result in resignations and further difficulyt for the GBP. That story is most likely for tomorrow now. Cabinet is due to meet on Wednesday at 1400GMT

Other major news was a whopping -8.00% drop in oil down to the daily 55.00 level. An over supply from Non-Opec producing countries has brought US crude tumbling down and this firmly puts the focus onto OPEC next month and whether their supply cuts will aid a recovery on oil from here. Expect some support from 55.00 daily level, but the chart is awfully heavy at the moment. The plus side is the stuff getting cheaper at the pumps.

REINZ housing data out at 2000GMT saw house sales rise in New Zealand by 15.5% YoY. This was the strongest set of sales in 5 months and NZDUSD pulled away from the 55 and 100 EMA on the 15 minute chart and it currently sits at 0.6756