USD/CAD: Recovery underway amid pullback in crude, US Dollar


  • Traders reassess two-day declines after API data, greenback buying.
  • The US, Canada and EIA inventory reports will be crucial to watch next.

The USD/CAD pair seesaws around 1.3300 during early Wednesday. The quote is likely deviating from its last two-day moves as it follows a recent uptick in the US Dollar (USD) coupled with the pullback in Crude prices. Economic data from the US and Canada will join EIA’s official weekly crude stock report to direct near-term trade sentiment.

USD/CAD, also known as Loonie, witnessed downside pressure since Monday as weak USD and rising crude prices favored sellers. The greenback was majorly bearing the burden of expected recession due to yield signals whereas supply crunch at Venezuela pleased energy traders.

Off-late, the WTI crude witnessed pullback after the American Petroleum Institute (API) released results of its oil stock survey concerning the private industries for the week ended on March 22. As per the report, 1.9 million barrels were added to the inventory than the previous contraction of 2.13 million barrels.

The US Dollar (USD) seems taking advantage of the overall market pessimism surrounding Brexit and likely rate-cuts from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) during initial Wednesday.

Next up in the focus will be January month trade balance numbers from the US and Canada followed by official EIA crude oil stocks change for the week ended on March 25.

Forecasts suggest the US trade balance number to rise to $-57.0 billion from $-59.8 billion whereas the same figures from Canada could also advance to $-3.50 billion from $-4.59 billion (revised). Also, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) crude oil stocks might follow the API’s footsteps and register an increase of +0.309 million versus -9.589 million prior.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis

In addition to providing a sustained break of 1.3420 resistance-line stretched since early January, the quote should also cross current month high around 1.3470 to target 1.3500 and 1.3565 during further upside.

Alternatively, 1.3370 and 1.3330 can entertain short-term sellers ahead of highlighting 100-day simple moving average (SMA) near 1.3310.

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures