GBP/USD Price Analysis: Plummets to over two-week low, seems vulnerable to slide further


  • GBP/USD witnessed aggressive selling on Friday and dived to over a two-week low.
  • Technical selling below the 1.2100 mark aggravated the intraday bearish pressure.
  • Descending trend-channel breakdown supports prospects for a further near-term fall. 

The GBP/USD pair added to its heavy intraday losses and tumbled to over a two-week low, around the 1.2030 region heading into the North American session.

The prospects for more aggressive Fed rate hikes, along with growing recession fears, boosted demand for the safe-haven US dollar and prompted fresh selling around the GBP/USD pair on Friday. This marked the third day of a sharp fall in the previous four and took along some short-term trading stops placed near the 1.2100 mark.

The subsequent decline below a two-week-old descending trend-channel support confirmed a fresh bearish breakdown and supports prospects for a further near-term depreciating move. The negative outlook is reinforced by the fact that bearish technical indicators on the daily chart are still away from being in the oversold territory.

That said, RSI (14) on the 4-hour chart is already flashing overstretched conditions and warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders. Nevertheless, the GBP/USD pair still seems poised to prolong the downward trajectory and challenge the 1.2000 psychological mark before eventually dropping to a target at the Fibonacci 61.8% extension of the height of the channel at 1.1959, and then the YTD low at around the 1.1935 zone.

On the flip side, the aforementioned ascending channel support breakpoint, around the 1.2085 region, now seems to act as an immediate resistance ahead of the 1.2100 mark. Any further move up could be seen as a selling opportunity near the 1.2140-1.2150 region. This, in turn, should cap the GBP/USD pair near the 1.2180-1.2185 supply zone.

GBP/USD 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.203
Today Daily Change -0.0147
Today Daily Change % -1.21
Today daily open 1.2177
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2297
Daily SMA50 1.2414
Daily SMA100 1.2817
Daily SMA200 1.3162
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2188
Previous Daily Low 1.2092
Previous Weekly High 1.2324
Previous Weekly Low 1.2161
Previous Monthly High 1.2617
Previous Monthly Low 1.1934
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2152
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2129
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2117
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2056
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2021
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2213
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2249
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2309

 

 

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